0x3d65ed13…5370sent to0x004395ed…34ac·#21,289,861·view on Etherscan
$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any balloon featured in the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade (https://www.macys.com/s/parade/lineup/) visibly deflates during the parade broadcast on November 28, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A balloon will be considered "deflated" if it significantly loses air, resulting in a notable change in its shape, size, or ability to float as intended. Minor leaks or damage that do not visibly alter the balloon's appearance or functionality will not count.
The resolution source will be the official NBC broadcast of the parade. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Israel and Hezbollah both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two parties that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hezbollah military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two countries, and be declared through official channels by both parties.
A humanitarian pause will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
If only one party (e.g. only Israel, or only Hezbollah) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between August 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on December 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.
This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Israel and Hezbollah both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two parties that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hezbollah military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two countries, and be declared through official channels by both parties.
A humanitarian pause will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
If only one party (e.g. only Israel, or only Hezbollah) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas leader Khaled Mashal, is confirmed to have moved outside of Qatar by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official statement from the Government of Qatar announcing the removal of Hamas leadership from the country will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if Khaled Mashal is not been confirmed to have moved.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Qatar, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any balloon featured in the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade (https://www.macys.com/s/parade/lineup/) visibly deflates during the parade broadcast on November 28, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A balloon will be considered "deflated" if it significantly loses air, resulting in a notable change in its shape, size, or ability to float as intended. Minor leaks or damage that do not visibly alter the balloon's appearance or functionality will not count.
The resolution source will be the official NBC broadcast of the parade. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137