0x7e367235…0c22sent to0x004395ed…34ac·#20,265,281·view on Etherscan
̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday? , description: This market will resolve to “Biden” if Joe Biden has a higher probability of winning the US presidential election than Donald Trump according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast for the day of July 5, 2024. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump has a higher probability of winning the US presidential election than Joe Biden according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast for the day of July 5, 2024. If Biden and Trump have equal odds, this market will resolve "50-50".
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve according to the datapoints for July 5 as soon as datapoints for July 6 become available. This market may not resolve until the July 6 datapoints are available. If no datapoints for July 5 are available by July 9, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 5.
Please note the resolution refers to the odds of each candidate winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 won by each candidate will NOT be considered. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Biden, p2 to Trump, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday? , description: This market will resolve to “Biden” if Joe Biden has a higher probability of winning the US presidential election than Donald Trump according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast for the day of July 5, 2024. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump has a higher probability of winning the US presidential election than Joe Biden according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast for the day of July 5, 2024. If Biden and Trump have equal odds, this market will resolve "50-50".
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve according to the datapoints for July 5 as soon as datapoints for July 6 become available. This market may not resolve until the July 6 datapoints are available. If no datapoints for July 5 are available by July 9, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 5.
Please note the resolution refers to the odds of each candidate winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 won by each candidate will NOT be considered. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Biden, p2 to Trump, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will another team win the 2024 Euros?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team other than England, France, Germany, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands, Croatia, Denmark, Serbia, Austria, Switzerland or Turkey wins the 2024 UEFA European Football Championship. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If the UEFA European Football Championship is not held in 2024 this market will resolve to "Yes"., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137