0x336b9de2…d88fsent to0x004395ed…34ac·#19,044,520·view on Etherscan
$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4 has 500 billion or more parameters when released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market covers how many parameters GPT-4 has at the time of its initial release, and will resolve based on that number regardless of whether that figure is later increased or decreased.
If GPT-4 is not released by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting (including corroborating statements from employees of OpenAI where available) may also be used. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137assertionId:3bfb53590f72b5eb878fd397d2730249f4a654774378ca835d9de31eda241715,ooAsserter:8a7ab7458f1021f3aaf01e0dea08616d6848d989$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 16, 12:00 PM ET, and January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military attack" is any use of force executed by Pakistan on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if an Islamic Revolutionary Guard weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a Pakistani missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Pakistani federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.
Pakistan striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Iranian territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137