0x3d65ed13…5370sent to0x004395ed…34ac·#21,124,897·view on Etherscan
̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?, description: This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of November 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if between Harris 0.0 (inclusive) and Harris +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on November 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of November 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?, description: This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of November 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if between Harris 0.0 (inclusive) and Harris +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on November 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of November 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly mentions the word "skibidi" between September 17 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ‘mention’ includes the following:
-A verbal usage of the word(s) "skibidi".
-Any written usage of the word(s) "skibidi" published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization.
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of Donald Trump taken within the mentioned timeframe, as well as official communications from Donald Trump. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Sergio Perez win the Brazilian Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sergio Perez wins the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix scheduled for November 3, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 17, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Trump say "vote" 30 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?, description: Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 2 in Salem, Virginia (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-salem-virginia).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "vote" 30 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "vote" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a formal indication of a choice between two or more candidates or courses of action, expressed typically through a ballot or a show of hands or by voice.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 2, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Trump say "vote" 25 or more during Greensboro, NC rally?, description: Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 2 in Greensboro, North Carolina (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-greensboro-nc).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "vote" 25 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "vote" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a formal expression of choice or opinion in an election.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 2, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Barriault vs. Stoltzfus, description: This is a market on whether Marc-Andre Barriault or Dustin Stoltzfus will win their bout.
If Marc-Andre Barriault is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Barriault.” If Dustin Stoltzfus is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Stoltzfus”.
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Carlos Sainz win the Brazilian Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Sainz wins the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix scheduled for November 3, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 17, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Sergio Perez win the Brazilian Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sergio Perez wins the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix scheduled for November 3, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 17, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Oscar Piastri win the Brazilian Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oscar Piastri wins the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix scheduled for November 3, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 17, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will George Russell win the Brazilian Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if George Russell wins the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix scheduled for November 3, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 17, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Max Verstappen wins the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix scheduled for November 3, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after November 17, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137