q: title: Will another candidate win the Sri Lankan presidential election?, description: The 2024 Sri Lankan presidential election is scheduled to be held on 21 September 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate other than Anura Kumara Dissanayake, Sajith Premadasa, Ranil Wickremesinghe, or Namal Rajapaksa wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sri Lanka, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
q: title: Pavel Durov leaves France by Sep 15?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Pavel Durov has left France for any length of time between August 25, 2024, and September 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Durov may have exited French airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than France for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Durov exits French maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Durov left France, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
q: title: Pavel Durov leaves France by Sep 15?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Pavel Durov has left France for any length of time between August 25, 2024, and September 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Durov may have exited French airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than France for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Durov exits French maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Durov left France, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Sergio Perez win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sergio Perez wins the 2024 Azerbaijan Grand Prix scheduled for September 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after October 20, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Lando Norris win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lando Norris wins the 2024 Azerbaijan Grand Prix scheduled for September 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after October 20, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
, res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oscar Piastri wins the 2024 Azerbaijan Grand Prix scheduled for September 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the 2024 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after October 20, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
q: title: Kamala positive favorability by Friday?, description: This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Kamala Harris's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than her unfavorable rating for any day between September 9 (inclusive) and September 13, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Harris's favorable rating must be higher than her unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.
The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after September 13, 2024 is published. If no such data point is available by September 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
q: title: zkSync airdrop by June 30?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if zkSync launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between February 13, 2024 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the zkSync team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4 has 500 billion or more parameters when released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market covers how many parameters GPT-4 has at the time of its initial release, and will resolve based on that number regardless of whether that figure is later increased or decreased.
If GPT-4 is not released by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting (including corroborating statements from employees of OpenAI where available) may also be used. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137assertionId:3bfb53590f72b5eb878fd397d2730249f4a654774378ca835d9de31eda241715,ooAsserter:8a7ab7458f1021f3aaf01e0dea08616d6848d989$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 16, 12:00 PM ET, and January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military attack" is any use of force executed by Pakistan on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if an Islamic Revolutionary Guard weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a Pakistani missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Pakistani federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.
Pakistan striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Iranian territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
q: title: MLB: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves 2023-04-30, description: In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for April 30 at 1:40 PM ET:
If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to “Mets”.
If the Atlanta Braves win, the market will resolve to “Braves”.
If the game is not completed by May 14, 2023 (11:59:59 PM ET), the market will resolve 50-50. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Braves, p2 to Mets, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:8c188d7c237d74210857d4e929af3b1fef04b594,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will there be widespread flooding in LA?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is widespread flooding in Los Angeles County as a result of Tropical Storm Hilary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting published before August 23, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately if the resolution criteria are met. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: NFL: Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots 2023-08-19, description: In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 19, 8:00 PM ET:
If the Green Bay Packers win, the market will resolve to “Packers”.
If the New England Patriots win, the market will resolve to “Patriots”.
If the game is not completed by August 26, 2023 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Patriots, p2 to Packers, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:8c188d7c237d74210857d4e929af3b1fef04b594,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will there be widespread flooding in LA?, description: This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is widespread flooding in Los Angeles County as a result of Tropical Storm Hilary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting published before August 23, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately if the resolution criteria are met. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: MLB: Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-04-28, description: In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for April 28 at 6:40 PM ET:
If the Detroit Tigers win, the market will resolve to “Tigers”.
If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to “Orioles”.
If the game is not completed by May 12, 2023 (11:59:59 PM ET), the market will resolve 50-50. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Orioles, p2 to Tigers, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:8c188d7c237d74210857d4e929af3b1fef04b594,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: NFL: Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots 2023-08-19, description: In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 19, 8:00 PM ET:
If the Green Bay Packers win, the market will resolve to “Packers”.
If the New England Patriots win, the market will resolve to “Patriots”.
If the game is not completed by August 26, 2023 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Patriots, p2 to Packers, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:8c188d7c237d74210857d4e929af3b1fef04b594,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137