̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Kamala positive favorability by next Friday?, description: This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Kamala Harris's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than her unfavorable rating for any day between September 13 (inclusive) and September 20, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Harris's favorable rating must be higher than her unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.
The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after September 20, 2024 is published. If no such data point is available by September 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?, description: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there no rate cuts by the Fed's December meeting (including the Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2024 meeting has been released if there has been no rate cuts by then.
If there is a rate cut at any time within 2024, before the statement following the December FOMC meeting is released, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Elon tweet 125-149 times?, description: If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 125 (inclusive) and 149 (inclusive) times on X between September 13, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source, res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Barron attend another college?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Barron Trump will be attending a college or university other than Georgetown, University of Pennsylvania, New York University, or Harvard, by August 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it remains unknown where Barron will be attending by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump family. However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. , res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Devin Strader win?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Devin Strader is announced as the winner of The Bachelorette Season 21.
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 21., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Barron Trump attend NYU?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Barron Trump will be attending New York University by October 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it is confirmed that Barron is attending a college or university other than NYU this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump family. However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Is John McAfee alive?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that former presidential candidate John McAfee is still alive between January 29 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will Nayib Bukele win?, description: The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nayib Bukele wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."
In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will Manuel Flores win?, description: The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manuel Flores wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."
In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will Luis Parada win?, description: The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luis Parada wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."
In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will someone else win?, description: The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone other than Bukele, Sanchez, Flores, and Parada wins. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will also resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market includes any potential second round.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will Joel Sanchez win?, description: The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joel Sánchez wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."
In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Farcaster unique users between 20-25k on Feb 5?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (inclusive) on Feb 5, after numbers for that day are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Farcaster unique users less than 15k on Feb 5?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is less than 15,000 on Feb 5, after numbers for that day are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Farcaster unique users between 15-20k on Feb 5?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is between 15,000 (inclusive) and 20,000 (exclusive) on Feb 5, after numbers for that day are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Farcaster unique users more than 25k on Feb 5?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is over 25,000 on Feb 5, after numbers for that day are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Farcaster's growth peak on Sunday?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is fewer on February 5, 2024 than on February 4, 2024 after numbers for those days are finalized AND none of the prior days starting from Feb 1 peaked. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may resolve immediately once numbers for both dates are finalized.
The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used., res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:2f5e3684cb1f318ec51b00edba38d79ac2c0aa9d,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (UTC +3), Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza. A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 31. If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.
res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (UTC +3), Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza. A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 31. If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.
res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
̴YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries receives the most votes in the first vote for a new Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy was ousted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If no vote for a new US Speaker of the House takes place by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137assertionId:91d73e8d46691ed8640c34f1c416d61049d678613b1b0fec46f09204e006a2dd,ooAsserter:33965f7d08f61a62b86c1ab9be5d82c42f4c3081
q: title: Greek Election: Will Syriza get more votes than PASOK?, description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syriza (ΣΥΡΙΖΑ, Coalition of the Radical Left – Progressive Alliance, Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Προοδευτική Συμμαχία) wins a greater number of votes than PASOK (ΠΑΣΟΚ, The Panhellenic Socialist Movement, Πανελλήνιο Σοσιαλιστικό Κίνημα) in the 2023 Greek legislative election scheduled for June 25 after the results are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Greek government and/or information published through the official website of the Hellenic Republic's Ministry of the Interior (https://ekloges.ypes.gr/en). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.
res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from May to June 2023?, description: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.3 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.4%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.3%, this market will resolve to “No”). res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from May to June 2023?, description: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”). res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from May to June 2023?, description: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.0 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
----
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.1%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.0%, this market will resolve to “No”). res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from May to June 2023?, description: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than -0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
----
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.0%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is -0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”). res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from April to May 2023?, description: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from April to May 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than -0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from April to May 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS May 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 13, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
----
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.0%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is -0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”). res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from April to May 2023?, description: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from April to May 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.0 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from April to May 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS May 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 13, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
----
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.1%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.0%, this market will resolve to “No”). res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from April to May 2023?, description: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from April to May 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from April to May 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS May 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 13, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
----
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”). res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137$tYES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from April to May 2023?, description: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from April to May 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from April to May 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS May 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 13, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.2%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”). res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
q: title: MLB: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians 2023-05-21, description: In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for May 21 at 1:40 PM ET:
If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to “Mets”.
If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to “Guardians”.
If the game is not completed by June 4, 2023 (11:59:59 PM ET), the market will resolve 50-50. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Guardians, p2 to Mets, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:8c188d7c237d74210857d4e929af3b1fef04b594,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
q: title: NHL: New Jersey Devils vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 2023-03-16, description: In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 16 at 7:00 PM ET:
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”.
If the game is not completed by April 21, 2023 (11:59:59 PM ET), the market will resolve 50-50. res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Lightning, p2 to Devils, p3 to unknown/50-50,initializer:8c188d7c237d74210857d4e929af3b1fef04b594,ooRequester:6a9d222616c90fca5754cd1333cfd9b7fb6a4f74,childRequester:ee3afe347d5c74317041e2618c49534daf887c24,childChainId:137
YES_OR_NO_QUERYq: title: Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1?, description: @ElonJet is a Twitter profile run by Jack Sweeney, who programmed a bot to parse flight data and tweet every time a private jet of Elon Musk's takes off or lands. On November 30, 2021, Elon Musk reportedly messaged Mr Sweeney asking him to deactivate the account @ElonJet. On April 25, the news came out that Elon Musk has bought Twitter.
The resolution source https://twitter.com/ElonJet will be checked daily at 12 PM ET, with the last check being performed on the resolution time of September 1, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET. If upon any of these checks the @ElonJet profile is found to be deactivated, deleted, banned or suspended in any form, while the Twitter platform is operating normally, this market will resolve to "No". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Yes". res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p2 corresponds to Yes, p1 to a No, p3 to unknown,ooRequester:cb1822859cef82cd2eb4e6276c7916e692995130,childRequester:bb1a8db2d4350976a11cdfa60a1d43f97710da49,childChainId:137